Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.012794 0.014455 0.016138 0.017965 0.019888 0.021845 0.023983
2025-04-20 0.009870 0.012468 0.015233 0.018360 0.021771 0.025351 0.029370
2025-04-27 0.007717 0.010760 0.014133 0.018072 0.022480 0.027205 0.032603
2025-05-04 0.006015 0.009288 0.013066 0.017608 0.022804 0.028471 0.035035
2025-05-11 0.005013 0.008495 0.012656 0.017779 0.023741 0.030327 0.038033
2025-05-18 0.004046 0.007615 0.012046 0.017633 0.024245 0.031638 0.040369
2025-05-25 0.003112 0.006652 0.011244 0.017183 0.024335 0.032428 0.042072
2025-06-01 0.002416 0.005914 0.010654 0.016934 0.024612 0.033392 0.043935
2025-06-08 0.001799 0.005190 0.010017 0.016575 0.024719 0.034127 0.045508
2025-06-15 0.001404 0.004740 0.009705 0.016593 0.025253 0.035336 0.047605
2025-06-22 0.000972 0.004130 0.009120 0.016222 0.025284 0.035933 0.048975
2025-06-29 0.000571 0.003442 0.008356 0.015571 0.024935 0.036055 0.049770
2025-07-06 0.000203 0.002613 0.007336 0.014596 0.024237 0.035845 0.050296
2025-07-13 0.000102 0.002398 0.007275 0.014942 0.025240 0.037716 0.053314
2025-07-20 0.000012 0.001975 0.006806 0.014682 0.025438 0.038594 0.055142
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001548 0.006255 0.014263 0.025401 0.039162 0.056584
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001356 0.006109 0.014417 0.026104 0.040629 0.059087
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001101 0.005788 0.014285 0.026411 0.041595 0.060983
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000808 0.005310 0.013880 0.026330 0.042063 0.062265
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000602 0.004966 0.013655 0.026475 0.042802 0.063863
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000410 0.004579 0.013332 0.026469 0.043337 0.065204
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000308 0.004408 0.013348 0.026922 0.044446 0.067237
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000178 0.004045 0.013015 0.026872 0.044904 0.068467